November 02, 2004

Will they be kind to the electable Senator?

Not that it's looking that way yet, but I wonder how the Democrats will react if Kerry loses? In as much as the Democrats blame the Supreme Court and a host of other faults for the 2000 loss, they turned on their candidate Al Gore as well. It had been his election to lose -- supposedly riding on the Clinton-Gore coattails of the rather pleasant 1990s -- and he lost it.

So will the Democrats treat Kerry the same way? Yes, incumbency. Yes, an unprecedented Republican get-out-the-vote machine. Yes, a war ("war"?) President. Yes, the mythical Karl Rove. But will Kerry ultimately be exorciated for failing to beat a President who was seemingly ripe for a take-down? Somewhere between unfunded commitments to education, record deficits, unprecedented job losses, the failure to capture the #1 terrorist "dead or alive," the quagmire in Iraq, alienated allies, and, as the indicator, approval levels below 50%, there will no doubt be a feeling that if there was a defeatable incumbent, this was the one.

So what will they make of their most electable of Democrats if he turns out not to be so electable? Hopefully there's no reason to study this question in detail in the coming days.

UPDATE: O.k., so now it is looking that way, with Florida in the Bush column and Ohio headed that way. Oh dear.

Posted by anatole at November 2, 2004 09:28 PM
Comments

Interesting view from Philly (PA seems to have been one of the swing-states where the Democrat machine worked wonders) ....

In your list of reasons Bush should have been turfed out, "family values" such as pro-life and no gay marriage didn't rank. The pundits here are claiming these as key (sleeper?) points that kept many from switching over to Kerry, who was not particularly coherent on them.

Also, the favourite term is "circular firing squad" for the Democratic blame-fest that's brewing.

Posted by: Mike at November 3, 2004 04:00 PM

What can I say? I voted for an America sometime in the far future where there will be more than two parties. But since I'm in New York, my vote is pretty trivial anyway.

It's all a little depressing. Especially when you realize that the candidate we had all been praying would win was still really not the kind of candidate one would really want to win in an ideal world.

I wish we could get rid of gerrymandering.

Posted by: George at November 4, 2004 12:03 AM